BoltHype Fantasy Flash - Buffalo Bills


BREAKOUT - Marshawn Lynch
When looking at this years rookie class, everyone is predicting that either Calvin Johnson or Adrian Peterson will be this year's Rookie Of The Year, but to me the player with the best chance at making a major impact is Lynch.

He has every thing you look for physically from a running back. Good size (5'11 220lbs), good speed (4.4), great quickness, and the ability to make people miss. In order to be the starter, Lynch only really has to beat out Anthony Thomas, and considering they traded away McGahee in order to draft Lynch, i think he should be able to do that pretty early in the season. Also, when you take into consideration that in the games McGahee started/finished, Anthony Thomas averaged only 3 carries per game, which should give Lynch the edge over Peterson who will be splitting carries with Chester Taylor (1200 rushing yards last year). Lynch has an added bonus with with his receiving skills (300+ receiving yards at CAL last year), and that is something the Bills have been missing for a while and are likely to take advantage of it, and will likely leave him in on 3rd downs.

The bills also did Lynch a favor by adding Derrick Dockery, who help Clinton Portis and Ladell Betts rush for a combined 1675+ yards last year, while averaging 4.5 ypc behind Dockery.

I see Lynch having a pretty big rookie year, rushing for 1350 yards, gain 350 receiving yards and score 8-10 TDs, which makes him a potentially great RB2.

BUST - Anyone outside the big 3
This one is pretty tough to pick. To me, outside of the big 3 (Evans, Lynch, Losman), I don't really see anyone else that represents much fantasy value. Peerless Price is coming off a horrible year season, a season in which he started 15 games and only averaged 8 yards per catch. Price also now has to compete with Roscoe Parrish for the #2 spot opposite Lee Evans. Josh Reed hasnt been the guy the bills were hoping for when they drafted him in the 2nd row a few years back, and none of the team's TEs have any fantasy value.

Lee Evans arrived last year. In his 3rd year (the golden year for WRs), Evans was 6th in the NFL in receiving yards (1292 yards) and scored 8 TDs. But this wasn't some fluke season. In his 3 seasons in the NFL, he has averaged 60 catches, 960 yards (16.2 ypc) and 8 TDs, and has 12 games with over 90 yards receiving (7 of those went over 100) in his short career.

He has always been one of the better deep threats in the NFL, but this past season showed he can be a great all around WR and one of the top 5-10 WR's. A good option as a WR1 in most leagues.

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June 25, 2007

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