Predicting Philip Rivers' Season Stats


As undoubtedly one of the most talented and productive quarterbacks in the NFL, Philip Rivers is not only racking up the wins, but he's also moving his way up the record books and helping fantasy football junkies in the process. BOLTHYPE blogger and former classmate of Philip Rivers takes a look ahead at what we can expect from the Chargers signal caller.

Philip, or “P-Riv” as I like to call him, had his best season in 2009, throwing for over 4,200 yards and 28 touchdowns. He met his goal of throwing for single-digit interceptions with 9 while connecting on over 65% of his passes.

I’m expecting this year to be quite different for Rivers’ stats even though he’ll be a better quarterback. First, it seems inevitable that P-Riv’s #1 downfield threat, Vincent Jackson, will not be with the team this season. Second, Ryan Mathews will take a lot of pressure off the passing game and there will undoubtedly be a better mix of run-pass. Plus, a better run-pass mix means sustained drives and fewer possessions.

But let’s not get bogged down with theoretical pontifications of what and why something will happen for now. The season is about to start. Let’s have some fun.

We’ll play a little Over/Under. I set the line, you pick whether Philip’s going over or under.

2009 SEASON TOTALS

Total Passing Yards – 4,254
Pass Attempts – 486
Touchdowns – 28
Interceptions – 9
Completion Percentage – 65.2%
Passer Rating – 104.4
Rushing Yards – 50
Tackles – 0
Wins – 13

2010 OVER/UNDERS

Total Passing Yards – 3,917
Pass Attempts – 467
Touchdowns – 26
Interceptions – 8.5
Completion Percentage – 64.1%
Passer Rating – 101.7
Rushing Yards – 67
Tackles – .5
Wins – 10.5

That’s what I think is going to happen.

Will P-Riv’s numbers drop as much as I’m predicting? Any chance he gets some plays in at one of his old high school positions, Free Safety, to go OVER in the Tackles stat? Or will he just find another defensive player to spear like he did the Cowboys’ Barry Church? Any chance his numbers improve dramatically in certain areas? What do you think? Sound off in the comments section below!

September 9, 2010

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8 comments:

Anonymous said... Sep 9, 2010, 1:23:00 PM

Over on everything!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! I am biased since I am a Charger fan, but Phillip Rivers is one of the most underrated QB's in the league. The guy can flat out throw the ball downfield and his accuracy is second to none!!!

Anonymous said... Sep 9, 2010, 2:32:00 PM

I could see most of the #'s in the same area, except passer rating may be 110+. He averages 104.5 for the last two years! Your #'s definitely would be worst case senario. After watching preseason, first team looks like when they get down inside the 30 yrd they are taking lots of shots for 7 by airing it out, running more through the middle of the field. But with the weaker schedule, we may not be throwing much in the 2nd half of games...With PRiv entering his prime years, combined with the weaker schedule, my guess would be 112 passer rating!

Mark said... Sep 9, 2010, 9:34:00 PM

What a useless article? Predicting stats??? Give me a break!!
We fans care about wins, and I'm sure Phillip agrees.

And what the hell is P-Riv???!!! Oh yeah, that's what I do after watching a game and my bladder needs to be emptied, except it's really P-A-Riv. Dude, If I were you I would be embarassed by this lame article. But congratulations, you just invented one of the worst nick-names for one of the best quarterbacks in the league!!

Carson said... Sep 10, 2010, 2:54:00 PM

Even though P-Riv is unquestionably the greatest tacking QB in the NFL, he does not turn the ball over much, so I think he's gonna have 0 tackles this year. His attempts, yards, and completion percentage are going up every year. He just seems to be getting better and better, and I think his stats will follow. I give him at least 4,000 yards and 30 TDs this year.

Anonymous said... Sep 13, 2010, 5:40:00 AM

really hard to estimate. lets assume 60 plays per game. we will see between 20 and 30 rushes this year, so the attempts will be pretty much spot on.

i actually agree with you on the yards and interceptions, but i think that the running game might take away more TDs from him.

tackles obviously up. he will be covering kicks in the final game to get one at least. probably a forced fumble too.


SO ALL IN ALL:

Total Passing Yards – =
Pass Attempts – =
Touchdowns – -
Interceptions – -
Completion Percentage – =
Passer Rating – +
Rushing Yards – -
Tackles – +
Wins – +


f.nation

Anonymous said... Sep 13, 2010, 8:37:00 AM

I agree. Dude. The "P-Riv" nickname has GOT to go. Lame. Lame. Lame.

kidfishman said... Sep 14, 2010, 6:28:00 AM

According to this post-game interview it sounds like his stats are going to be down:

http://amaribfishman.blogspot.com/2010/09/phillip-rivers-blames-god-vasectomy-for.html

Anonymous said... Sep 16, 2010, 2:03:00 PM

the p-riv nickname is just the way it's always been.

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