Can The Chargers Win The AFC West?

Sitting at the midpoint of the season, with the Chargers 3-5, now’s a good time to size up the Divisional race in the AFC West. Can the West be won by someone other than the Chiefs?

We’re halfway through the season and the Kansas City Chiefs have me worried. That’s something I never imagined I’d be writing this year (or even this decade), especially since just this past Sunday it took overtime for them to beat the winless Bills in Arrowhead. But it’s the reality that the Chargers’ fans have found themselves in, worried about the Chiefs. And I'm even a little worried about the Raiders. The Broncos? Not so much.

Let's look at how the schedules shake out to see how things might end up in the AFC West Division.

These predictions were written with absolutely no bias at all. Nope. None. No bias present. Well, maybe a little.


I think it’s fair to acknowledge that Sunday’s win over the Titans was not without flaws, but it was still a good win over a solid team. Everyone knows the Chargers have the system and talent to compete and win on offense and defense. It’s just a matter of putting it all together in all 3 phases and limiting mistakes. The Chargers are likely to be favored in all but 1 remaining game. Here’s how I see the rest of the season shaking out:

Week 9 @ Houston – Vegas is favoring the Chargers on the road which is a strong statement. However, Houston can move the ball through the air and on the ground. But their secondary is just too porous for the man, Philip Rivers, to not shred them. Prediction: Win (4-5)

Week 10 BYE WEEK – Gates’ popped Plantar Fasciitis, Naanee’s and Floyd’s hamstrings, and Mathews’ ankle all get a chance to heal. I’d say that’s a WIN.

Week 11 Denver – They’ve already fallen apart. Chargers win in a romp. (5-5)

Week 12 @ Indianapolis – Almost every bit of me wants to favor the Chargers since they have the Colts number and the Colts’ defense is having a down year and half the Colts’ offense is injured. But then I remember they have Peyton Manning, who practically never loses on Primetime. Prediction: Loss (5-6)

Week 13 Oakland – The Chargers can’t lose to the Raiders twice in 1 season. More on them later. (6-6)

Week 14 Kansas City – The Chargers can’t lose to the Chiefs twice in 1 season. More on them later. (7-6)

Week 15 San Francisco – I’m seriously considering the possibility that the Niners might not even field a team, or coaches, for this game. (8-6)

Week 16 @ Cincinnati – They will be out of Playoff contention, so nothing to play for plus they’re not good. Nope, they’re not beating the Chargers. (9-6)

17 @ Denver – It’ll probably be cold, but Denver will be coachless and motivationless. (10-6)

So that’s puts the Chargers at 10-6 to end the season. Will it be enough? Let’s see.


The Chiefs rank #1 in the league in rushing, at over 190 yards/game; 22 yards/game more than the #2 ranked, Raiders. They seem to have found their stride in the passing game as well. Dwayne Bowe found some better Stickum® and Matt Cassel has figured out how to get him the ball. They don’t pass much – they’re 31st in the league with 187 net pass attempts – but they’re efficient. Plus they have young playmakers and a burgeoning defense.

They sit at 5-2 with a Chocolate Bundt shaped schedule coming up. I’m hoping for a 2008 Denver Broncosesque collapse.

Week 9 @ Oakland – Da Raidas are favored and it does feel like a letdown spot for the Chiefs. Prediction: Loss (5-3)

Week 10 @ Denver – Denver is going to win some games at home. The Chiefs second straight game on the road after a physical contest against the Raiders. Denver wins. (5-4)

Week 11 Arizona – Back home against the Arizona Revolving Quarterbacks and they win easily. (6-4)

Week 12 @ Seattle – Seattle is a tough nut to crack. It’s easiest to just say “tough at home, terrible on the road.” Let’s give the Chiefs a loss there too. (6-5)

Week 13 Denver – Back home to Arrowhead after Denver realizes their season has slipped away and that they’re cold. Chiefs win. (7-5)

Week 14 @ San Diego – Payback. Chiefs get trounced. Whaddaya know? It’s week 14 and the Chargers and Chiefs have the same record. (7-6)

Week 15 @ St. Louis – Another losable game, but I think they pull that one out. (8-6)

Week 16 Tennessee – Titans could very well be fighting the Colts for the division at this point and will be motivated. Chiefs lose. (8-7)

Week 17 Oakland – Another game that could go either way. Gotta think the Chiefs are able to close out the Regular season with a victory at home though. (9-7)

I have the Chargers finishing at 10-6 and the Chiefs at (9-7). Chargers = 2010 AFC West Champions. Why even bother playing out the rest of the season? I have the results right here.


They’re not out of it yet at 4-4, but with remaining games against Pittsburgh, Miami, San Diego, and Indianapolis, I don’t see them getting past 8 wins.


My opinion of them dropped considerably watching them lose to the 49ers, but their schedule sets up very nicely. They have 2 remaining games against the Chiefs and Chargers, but get the Rams and Texans at home. Still, they can’t recover from 2-6 and getting obliterated by the Raiders.

The chips have to fall right for the Chargers to win the AFC West, but going through game by game, it seems doable. What do you think? Are my biases reigning supreme? Are the Chiefs a legit contender in the AFC? Was the win over Tennessee Sunday the turning point for the Chargers?

November 4, 2010

Join our team:


Aschwinn said... Nov 4, 2010, 9:59:00 PM

The Chiefs are too good with a poor schedule coming up. If and when they win their next to game they will win the division. The Chargers are strong, but they need some help. The divisions wins and losses are key. It will be close but I have the chiefs on top at 9-7, tied with the chargers, but the division record will be in favor of the Chiefs.

Post a Comment

What's your take? Registration is not required but we encourage you guys to at least use some sort of screen name to help identify one another in discussions. Use Name/URL If You Don't Sign In Please!


Newer Post Older Post Home Page

This Week's Popular Posts


  Pro Football Talk

  USA Today

  San Diego Union - Tribune

  Yahoo! Sports

  ESPN - AFC West

  FOX Sports